Top 30 1B for 2016
I know, I know, Sergio Romo isn’t even a closer so why in the hell am I writing about him. Because Romo is the Giants best reliever and it’s only a matter of time before Santiago Casilla coughs up that job. Romo lost the closer job to Casilla in 2014 and that was largely because of a run of bad homer luck (HR/FB spiked to 13% compared to a career of 7.9%). Casilla on the other hand has always had mediocre peripherals and somehow manages to continue to post good ERAs.
I had a hard time with this one as I have always been a big fan of Robbie Erlin and he is finally healthy. The only thing is that I don’t see Erlin getting drafted in all but the deepest of leagues and I honestly have no faith that he can make it even 50 IPs. However if he does make 20 starts, they could be really good.
The rankings for Yasiel Puig are all over the place this year. The typical range I have seen is from OF 25-OF 35 which on the surface seems insane considering Puig is coming off a year in which he was a consensus top 15 pick. It makes sense that he has slipped given that he put up 11 HR, 30 R, 38 RBI, 3 SB, a .255 AVG and a .322 OBP in 79 games last year. If we prorate that over 150 games it jumps up to 21 HR, 57 R, 72 RBI, and 6 SB and immediately he goes from a terrible year to a pretty good one. He had hamstring issues virtually all year that caused him to miss so many games, but a full offseason to heal should leave behind any worries of continued problems. He plays recklessly so injuries are to be expected, but I wouldn’t worry about the ones he suffered last year playing spoiler on his 2016 season.
Originally this was about Corey Dickerson, but given his trade (read: gifting) to Tampa Bay, why not highlight his new replacement Gerardo Parra. Gerardo Parra has pretty middling numbers across the board in his career with a career high in HR of only 14 and a career triple slash of .277/.326/.404. He has always played in a good home ballpark for home runs but now he will be moving into the best ballpark for lefty power. He’ll be hitting in a decent lineup and should have a chance to be a pretty valuable pick in drafts.
3B is a very deep position these days and Jake Lamb likely isn’t anywhere in the top 20 or 25 of 3B rankings. However, he could become quite the asset particularly in keeper and dynasty leagues.
Kolten Wong came into 2015 with a lot of hype and was a disappointment finishing as the 12th best 2B according to ESPN’s player rater. He took a step back in both HRs and SBs compared to 2014 even though he had almost 200 more PA in 2015. Kolton Wong finished 2015 with 11 HR, 71 R, 61 RBI, 15 SB, .262 AVG and .321 OBP and I think there is upside across the board for him.